Vitória do River pressiona Flu – entenda os cenários
Uma vitória heroica hoje recolocou o River na Libertadores 2021 e pressionou o Fluminense no grupo D da competição. Após a derrota em casa, para o Júnior Barranquila, o tricolor precisa vencer o tradicional time da Argentina, na casa deles, para não depender do tropeço dos colombianos – que enfrentam os compatriotas do Santa Fé, já eliminados. E a vaga pode ser decidida nos “gols marcados fora”
Os critérios de desempate, na fase de grupos, são os seguintes: 1) melhor saldo de gols; 2) mais gols pró; 3) mais gols fora de casa; 4) ranking da Conmebol.
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O River está em primeiro, com 9 pontos mas ainda não está garantido nas oitavas da competição. Os argentinos podem ser ultrapassados pelos colombianos de Barranquila e deixar a competição, rumo à Sul-Americana. Caso perca para o Flu, por 1 x 0, e o Júnior vença pelo mesmo placar, o River se despede pelo critério de mais gols pró. As equipes empatariam em pontos e no saldo de gols, nessa situação hipotética.
Mas um empate classifica os argentinos, em primeiro de seu grupo, e coloca a corda no pescoço do Flu, que terá de torcer para que o Júnior não passe de um empate com o Santa Fé. Caso o tricolor empate por 0 x 0, uma vitória da equipe do Júnior representará a despedida do Flu. Isso porque o Júnior empataria com o Flu nos dois primeiros critérios – 1) melhor saldo de gols; 2) mais gols pró – mas perderia no terceiro critério, pois o Júnior, apesar de jogar na Colômbia, joga na casa do adversário – vencendo, marcaria mais gols fora e passaria o tricolor no critério (hoje estão empatados com 3 gols).
O único cenário que o Flu se classifica sem sustos é a vitória.
Nos demais, sempre vai depender do jogo do Júnior. Se o Júnior vencer por 1 x 0, por exemplo, o Flu precisa empatar com gols, no Monumental – pois aí manteria à frente pelos gols pró. Haja calculadora!
Trocando em miúdos:
Vitória nos classifica;
Empate:
– por 0 x 0 – qualquer vitória do Júnior, o Flu se despede; empate ou derrota deles, Flu classificado em segundo;
– com gols – vai depender do saldo do jogo do Júnior.
ST
Aqueles gols pedidos vai custar caro, em? Vamos torcer até o último minuto, mas a possibilidade de classificação está muito remota. O RSF já era, o Barranquilla vai ganhar com certeza e ganhar do River lá não é uma tarefa fácil. Que Deus nos ajude.
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