Matemática pesada: Veja o que Fluminense precisa para ir buscar a classificação na Bolívia
A situação realmente ficou complicada para o Fluminense na Copa Sulamericana. Após um empate sem qualquer brilho na noite de ontem contra o Union Santa Fé, as chances de classificação do tricolor para a próxima fase da competição ficou mais distante. Entretanto, ela não é impossível. Nossa equipe trouxe o cenário que pode dar a vaga ao time carioca.
Na última rodada, o Union enfrenta o Junior Barranquilla em território colombiano. Para o Flu, o único resultado possível neste jogo é o empate. Qualquer uma das equipas que vir a sair com uma vitória, o tricolor encontra-se eliminado do torneio continental.
Se isso vier a acontecer, o Junior vai a 11 pontos e o Union ficará com 10, na segunda posição – lembrando que só o primeiro colocado avança nessa fase da Sulamericana. O tricolor vai até Santa Cruz de La Sierra enfrentar o Oriente Petrolero, já eliminado e com nenhum ponto na competição. Ambas as partidas acontecem no mesmo dia e na mesma hora.
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Caso haja o empate em Barranquilla, o Fluminense precisará fazer a sua parte e vencer os bolivianos por uma diferença de 6 gols. Com isso, passará o saldo do Junior e avançaria para a primeira colocação e passaria de fase.
Se os cariocas vencerem por uma diferença de 5 (cinco) gols, contando com o empate entre as outras duas equipes, ainda sim, ficam de fora. Isso pelo fato dos tricolores e colombianos estarem empatados em quase tudo. Os critérios são, em ordem:
Saldo (+6)
Gols Pró (10)
Nº de gols como Visitante (5).
Nesse caso, o que realmente decidiria a favor do Junior seria seria o Ranking da CONMEBOL, de 16 de dezembro de 2021: Junior 25ª posição/ Fluminense 30ª posição.
Em resumo, a missão tricolor é muito difícil. Precisa ganhar de 6×0 para passar no saldo de gols. Ou então, qualquer outra diferença de cinco gols (6×1, 7×2, 8×3) para passar pelo critério dos gols fora de casa – a não ser que a equipe de Barranquilla não empate com muitos gols, pois com isso, o Flu passaria no critério dos Gols Pró.
ST
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